Bulletins
The Critical Events Monitoring System (CEMS) Bulletins provide a brief and actionable overview of pressing issues in conflict-stricken areas based on the real-time data collected via SMS and two-way radio that are recorded in Climate Conflict Action’s database.
Beyond the Ballot: Unpacking the first Bangsamoro Parliamentary Election
18 September 2026 CEMS
The historic first Parliamentary elections in the Bangsamoro on 14 September has been declared “generally peaceful,” but the violence surrounding the polls tells a deeper story. Violence erupted in various parts of the region, accompanied by incidents of vote-buying and electoral fraud, all of which collectively invite a more circumspect analysis of whether the “generally peaceful” elections were in fact free, fair, and credible.
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Boto Mo Bangsamoro Bulletin no. 8 | As of 8:00pm
14 September 2026 CEMS
Polling centres have officially closed at 7PM across the Bangsamoro, with some areas reported to have closed earlier due to the fewer voters coming into the precincts. Some areas such as Al-Barka and Maluso in Basilan have extended their voting to 9PM to make way for the delayed start of the polls due to tensions and reprinting of shaded ballots.
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Boto Mo Bangsamoro Bulletin no. 7 | As of 05:00pm
14 September 2026 CEMS
With just a few hours before polling centres close, tensions and violence persisted in pockets of Maguindanao del Sur, Cotabato City, Lanao del Sur, and in Basilan.
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Boto Mo Bangsamoro Bulletin no. 6 | As of 12:00pm
14 September 2026 CEMS
The morning of election day was welcomed by a gunfire inside the Central Pilot Elementary School in Cotabato City which left four people injured, including a police officer. The shooting incident caused fear and panic among voters, prompting them to flee the precinct. Some voters reportedly climbed onto a roof of a nearby store, which eventually collapsed. Voting only commenced in the precinct at 11AM.
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Boto Mo Bangsamoro Bulletin no. 5 | As of 7:00am
14 September 2026 CEMS
The Bangsamoro region is undergoing heightened election preparations and security measures three days before the first Parliamentary election. Military have been deployed in various areas across the region, including key boundary sites. Checkpoints have been intensified, and armored vehicles and military trucks are being positioned around polling areas.
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A Vote for the Future: The Bangsamoro's critical step toward democracy
12 September 2026 CEMS
The Bangsamoro region has entered the final stretch toward its first Parliamentary election. The Commission on Elections (Comelec) has begun deploying ballots, automated counting machines, and other election paraphernalia in some remote areas across the region. However, the path to the polls remains marked by electoral and security risks, with reports of vote-buying, political violence, and clan feuds. The government has responded with an unprecedented massive deployment of security forces in its bid to secure the polls, but the risks extend beyond election day, with potential implications for post-election stability and the broader Bangsamoro political settlement.
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Bangsamoro at a Crossroads
03 September 2026 CEMS
Political activities are in full swing, with parties conducting rallies, caravans, and assemblies to consolidate support ahead of election day. Yet beneath the vibrant campaign activities lie a more uncertain political landscape, marked by rising political tensions, insecurity, and questions over public confidence in the Bangsamoro political settlement.
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Deepening political polarisation in the BARMM
26 August 2026 CEMS
The ambush of Bangsamoro Interim Chief Minister Abdulraof Macacua’s convoy on 15 August in Brgy. Bitu, Datu Odin Sinsuat exposes the deepening polarisation within the Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF). It comes at a particularly critical period of the Bangsamoro political settlement and raises serious questions about the stability of the region, just a few weeks before the first Parliamentary election will be held.
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Resurgence of clan feuds risks further violence ahead of elections
14 August 2026 CEMS
The first two weeks of the campaign period for the first Bangsamoro Parliamentary Election (BPE) saw two major recurring clan feuds in the Special Geographic Areas (SGA) and Maguindanao del Sur. The involvement of politico-military actors in these strings of violence reflects the complex dynamics that have allowed these conflicts to persist over time, as well as heighten the risks that these feuds could intersect with the electoral process and pose significant challenges to the polls.
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Safeguard the Bangsamoro Vote: A critical period to transcend violence in the region
31 July 2026 CEMS
As the Bangsamoro enters a critical election period, Boto Mo Bangsamoro! expands its monitoring efforts to provide timely, verified, and community-based reports on conflict incidents and emerging security concerns across the region. Our latest brief examines the security landscape as the elections seasons of the Bangsamoro Parliamentary Election and the Barangay and SK elections will converge, bringing increased security risk in the region. Compounding these concerns is the onset of the rainy season, which could disrupt election operations in areas vulnerable to flooding.
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